Data
Macro series
18 FRED series across six families, pulled by the QuantCrystal engine and published as a single artifact that both quantcrystal.com and marketcrystal.ai read. One puller, two consumers — there is no second copy of this registry, and no number on this page was typed by hand.
How to read the freshness column
Staleness is judged against each series' own release cadence, never a flat clock. Treasury dailies publish at T-1; EIA petroleum series run about eight days behind; Case-Shiller lands roughly ninety days after the period it describes. All three are healthy. A single global freshness window loose enough to accommodate Case-Shiller would hide a genuine Treasury outage, so each series carries its own envelope.
6 of 18 series are outside their expected release window — marked STALE below. That is a statement about the publisher's schedule, not necessarily a fault.
Published nowcast
CPI (CPIAUCSL) index for the month after 2026-06 lands in [332.03, 334.026] (80% nominal). Point 333.027 vs naive 332.568. Driver: WTI -6.4% over 2026-07. One-month lead — this is a nowcast, not a long-horizon forecast.
This is a scored, falsifiable claim — it resolves against the actual CPI print and is recorded either way on the MarketCrystal track-record ledger. The lead is one month: it is a nowcast conditioned on oil that has already moved, not a long-horizon forecast.
Housing
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Building Permits PERMIT | 1,374 K units SAAR | -2.55% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
| Housing Starts HOUST | 1,427 K units SAAR | +19.02% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
| Case-Shiller Home Price CSUSHPINSA | 335.1 index | +0.64% | 2026-05-01 | monthly | current 94d |
| 30Y Mortgage Rate MORTGAGE30US | 6.66% | +1.22% | 2026-07-30 | weekly | current 4d |
Energy
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude DCOILWTICO | 84.25 $/bbl | -8.16% | 2026-07-27 | daily | current 7d |
| Brent Crude DCOILBRENTEU | 91.82 $/bbl | -8.46% | 2026-07-27 | daily | current 7d |
| Natural Gas (Henry Hub) DHHNGSP | 2.63 $/MMBtu | -8.36% | 2026-07-27 | daily | current 7d |
| Retail Gasoline GASREGW | 4.10 $/gal | +2.37% | 2026-07-27 | weekly | current 7d |
Rates
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Funds Rate DFF | 3.63% | +0.00% | 2026-07-30 | daily | current 4d |
| 10Y Treasury DGS10 | 4.68% | +0.21% | 2026-07-30 | daily | current 4d |
| 2Y Treasury DGS2 | 4.23% | +0.24% | 2026-07-30 | daily | current 4d |
| Yield Curve (10Y-2Y) T10Y2Y | 0.470% | +4.44% | 2026-07-31 | daily | current 3d |
Inflation
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI (headline) CPIAUCSL | 332.6 index | -0.42% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
| Core CPI CPILFESL | 336.1 index | -0.02% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
Labor
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment Rate UNRATE | 4.20% | -2.33% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
| Initial Jobless Claims ICSA | 197,000 claims | +4.79% | 2026-07-25 | weekly | current 9d |
Monetary
| Series | Latest | Change | As of | Cadence | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M2 Money Supply M2SL | 23,155 $B | +0.43% | 2026-06-01 | monthly | stale 63d |
| TGA Balance WTREGEN | 910,776 $M | +9.78% | 2026-07-29 | weekly | current 5d |
What this is not
These are public series republished with their observation dates intact. Nothing here is a forecast, a recommendation, or a signal. The one predictive claim on the page is the nowcast above, and it carries its own resolution date so it can be scored against reality rather than described in retrospect. See the disclaimer.